New Marquette Law School Poll finds Biden ahead of Trump

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

87% : On having a strong record of accomplishment as president, 17% say this describes Biden very well, while 28% say this describes Trump very well.
76% : Biden wins large percentages of both categories of approval, while Trump dominates the strongly-disapproving voters.
76% : "Has the right temperament to be president" is seen as describing Biden very well by 24% and as describing Trump very well by 15%.
74% : Trump received initial support from 44% and Biden from 42%.
74% : Biden had an advantage in favorability over Trump in most of the early polling, but Trump has held the advantage over the last four polls.
73% : Biden wins 61% for those somewhat disapproving of his job performance, while Trump is favored by 39% of those.
65% : Trump holds 77% support from Republicans, and Biden 76% support from Democrats.
63% : Table 12 shows how voters choose to vote for Biden or Trump by strength of approval or disapproval of Biden's job performance.
61% : For Biden and Trump, 19% of respondents are unfavorable to both candidates.
61% : The trend for favorability to both Biden and Trump is shown in Table 10.
59% : In the most recent prior Marquette Law School Poll, conducted Feb. 5-15, 2024, Trump was the choice of 51% and Biden the pick of 49% among registered voters, while Trump won 52% and Biden 48% among likely voters.
59% : Slightly more see him as better than Biden on handling Medicare and Social Security, as well.
58% : Table 3: Vote for Biden or Trump, by party identificationAmong registered votersAmong likely voters, the trend in vote choice is shown in Table 4.
58% : However, in November 2023, those unfavorable to both supported Trump 52% to 48% for Biden.
57% : Among likely voters, Biden receives 52% and Trump 48%.
57% : In the current poll, those unfavorable to both support Biden by 59% to 41% for Trump, while in February Biden got 63% and Trump 36%.
56% : Trump and Biden both win 20% from independents, while Kennedy takes 37%, West 15%, and Stein 7%.
54% : The favorability trend for Trump is shown in Table 9.
52% : Asked if they approved or disapproved of how Trump handled his job when he was president, 47% approved and 53% disapproved.
51% : Table 4: Presidential vote choice, Biden v. Trump, Sept. 2023-March 2024
51% : This the first time the retrospective approval of Trump has been asked.
48% : Table 2: Presidential vote choice, Biden v. Trump, national surveys, May 2023-March 2024Among registered votersTable 3 shows the Biden vs. Trump results by party identification in February and March national surveys.
47% : The Marquette Law School Poll's national surveys have seen a close race between Trump and Biden among registered voters since May 2023, with the trend shown in Table 2.
46% : Table 14 shows how well various phrases describe Biden and Trump.
45% : Trump is seen as better on immigration and border security, the economy, the Israel-Hamas war, and, to a lesser degree, foreign relations.
38% : Among likely votersWhen the ballot question is expanded to include independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Trump receives 41% and Biden 38%.
36% : Trump has a substantial margin with those who are registered but say they are not certain if they will vote.
34% : "Of recent events in the news, 59% said they had heard a lot about a New York court's decision finding Trump liable for conspiring to manipulate his net worth and ordering him to pay a penalty of nearly $355 million plus interest, 28% had heard a little, and 12% had heard nothing at all.
23% : For Trump, 23% say he is too old to be president.
18% : Table 1: Vote for Biden or Trump, by registration and certainty of votingAmong adultsThe survey was conducted March 18-28, 2024, interviewing 868 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-4.3 percentage points.
17% : (The sample size of those favorable to both Biden and Trump is too small for meaningful analysis and thus is not included in the table.)
8% : Harris has the highest net negative favorability rating at -25, with Biden at -20 and Trump at -13.
8% : Table 14: How well does this phrase describe Biden or TrumpAmong registered votersOn the issue of illegal immigration and border control, 47% strongly agree with the statement, "The Biden administration's border policies have created a crisis of uncontrolled illegal migration into the country."
3% : On "shares your values," more say this describes Trump very well than Biden, but more also say this describes Trump not at all well than say the same of Biden.Corruption assertions have been leveled against both candidates; 29% say "has behaved corruptly" describes Biden very well, and 42% say the same for Trump.

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