The popular vote cushion Harris needs for electoral win: What analysts say

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

45% : In the swing state of North Carolina, a poll released Tuesday showed Harris with a 3-point lead over Trump, while in Arizona, the two have switched back and forth for weeks.
41% : Harris has frequently led Trump in polling nationally, but only by a small margin, which could mean problems when it comes to securing the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the White House.
40% : When Trump ran again in 2020, Joe Biden beat him by over 7 million, but the votes of around 400,000 mattered in deciding the election.
39% : In 2016, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 2.9 million votes, but it was where those votes fell that mattered, and Trump won in the states he needed for those Electoral College votes.
27% : Harris will have the chance to do that in Philadelphia on Tuesday night as she debates Trump at 9 p.m. ET.

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