Virginia: Two new polls give Harris a big lead over Trump

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

58% : "Biden beat Trump in Virginia by 10 percentage points in 2020.
53% : The Washington Post/Schar School poll, using the largest sample to date, said Harris led Trump by eight percentage points, while a new Morning Consult poll gave her a 10-percentage point lead.
53% : Trump had a favorability rating of 39% and 53% viewed him unfavorably.
53% : Counting the ballotsMeanwhile 82% of voters said they are confident Virginia election officials will count ballots accurately, 64% said Biden won the 2020 election and 56% said Trump bears a great deal or a good amount of responsibility for the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol to overturn the 2020 election.
49% : "Very notable in the poll is that despite intensified polarization, Virginians come to very different judgments about three Republicans -- Trump, Cao, and Youngkin," Rozell said.
48% : "This is in contrast to national polls that show Trump preferred on the economy, fighting crime, and especially immigration.
46% : Democrat Hillary Clinton beat Trump in Virginia by five percentage points in 2016.
41% : Democrats have carried Virginia in the last four presidential elections, but Trump has asserted that he will fight for Virginia's 13 electoral votes and the state GOP has asserted that the state is in play.
41% : Harris led Trump by 50% to 42% of voters surveyed in the Schar School poll, when asked about their choice between them and all the third-party candidates who will be on the Virginia ballot.
39% : The Morning Consult poll said Harris had a 52% to 42% lead over Trump in Virginia.
37% : A majority of respondents said they thought Harris would do a better job on these issues than Trump -- by 47% to 43% on the economy and 48% to 42% on protecting democracy.
34% : On immigration, crime and safety and helping middle class workers, results were less clear:Trump did better on immigration -- 46% to 43% -- and crime and safety -- 46% to 43% -- but the split was within the poll's margin of error.
33% : "It is striking that Harris is preferred over Trump on almost every issue, or at worst is statistically tied," Mark Rozell, dean of George Mason University's Schar School of Policy and Government, said in an email.
30% : Trump held rallies in Richmond in March and in Chesapeake in June, but has not been back, other than stopping at a Falls Church restaurant Aug. 26 with Hung Cao, the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate.
29% : Trump has never been particularly popular in Virginia, which tends to be less populist overall," he said.
25% : Voters who favored the third parties or didn't express an opinion when asked whether they preferred Harris or Trump favored Harris 51% to 43%.
23% : The Morning Consult poll, meanwhile, did not find the gender gap among Virginia voters that national surveys have reported is widening: both men and women in Virginia favored Harris over Trump 52% to 42%
21% : While 92% of Democrats surveyed told Morning Consult that they'd vote for Harris and 92% of Republicans said they'd vote for Trump, independents split 48% to 40% for Harris.
10% : Both of those polls both gave the Democrats a modest edge, and a July Virginia Commonwealth University poll gave Trump a lead over Biden that was within its margin of error.
9% : Both results were outside the polls' margins of error, unlike results of last month's Roanoke College poll and a July New York Times poll that tested Virginia voters' preferences for President Joe Biden versus Trump before Biden's withdrawal from the race.

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