Will the Trump-Harris Debate Actually Matter?

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

41% : It's true that pretty much everyone has an opinion about Trump, but most people don't watch his rallies and don't see this more unhinged Trump.
38% : There is still a capacity for Trump to offend, and anything that triggers swing voters' memories of the "bad," chaotic former president could hurt.Harris, meanwhile, is one tin-eared comment away from demolishing her campaign's carefully crafted effort to remake her from a California progressive to a joyful, patriotic liberal.
37% : As for Trump, this evening marks his seventh debate as a Republican nominee.
35% : It's worth remembering that Donald Trump was up by 1.5 points in the Real Clear Politics polling average on the day of his June debate with Joe Biden, and the biggest polling spread came 11 days later when Trump was up by: 3.4 points.
25% : So for Trump, success equals pretending to be someone he's not for just 90 minutes.
11% : Trump could fail to contain his anger and say something particularly harsh or uncouth about Harris, betraying the apparent contempt he has for his rival's intelligence or appearing misogynistic or racist.
8% : But here's the secret-except for the last debate in June, in which President Joe Biden was so bad it led to his exiting the race in favor of Harris, Trump has generally been mediocre in these situations versus Democrats.
4% : I'll be more interested if the debate solidifies pre-existing narratives that may lock in some of these more volatile swing voters-Harris is too liberal, Trump is erratic, Harris is a policy lightweight, Trump is weird.

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