Polling, Election Models Show Dead Heat Between Trump and Harris with Less Than Two Months to Election Day

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

61% : She is leading Trump among voters between the ages of 18 and 29 by just eight points, and is leading among voters between the ages of 30 and 44 by just nine points.
60% : On Sunday, the New York Times and Siena College released their gold-standard poll showing a statistical tie between the two candidates, with Trump leading by just one point -- 48 percent to Ms. Harris's 47 percent -- among likely voters.
53% : In the July Times-Siena poll, just after the Republican National Convention, Trump led Ms. Harris among likely voters by the same margin -- 48 percent to 47 percent.
51% : According to exit polling, Mr. Biden won those same age groups against Trump by 27 points and seven points, respectively.
48% : The Times-Siena poll also finds Trump and Ms. Harris tied in six of this year's seven critical battleground states -- Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona.
46% : According to the Times-Siena poll, 28 percent of voters said they need to know more about the vice president, compared to just nine percent who said the same of Trump.
45% : It's just partisan motivated reasoning and they don't know what they're talking about," Mr. Silver says, addressing his critics who have been nagging him about having Trump as a favorite in his own election model despite Ms. Harris's strong polling numbers.
27% : "Ms. Harris has explained her policy flip-flops -- including backing away from single-payer healthcare, a ban on fracking, decriminalization of border crossings, and even a prohibition on plastic straws -- by saying her "values have not changed."

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