The Memo: Democrats fear Trump will out-perform polls again

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

58% : Another factor remained the same: pollsters were excellent at estimating the Democratic nominee's level of support but poor at predicting Trump's.
56% : The final RealClearPolitics (RCP) average before Election Day had Clinton besting Trump by 3.2 points.
48% : In probability terms, a 54 percent chance of winning basically means that in an imaginary scenario where the election could be run 20 times, Harris would win 11 times and Trump 9 times.
42% : But it underestimated Trump's by almost seven points.
41% : But it underestimated Trump's by almost three points.
40% : "Trump is winning men who have not voted" previously, she stated.
39% : Also on Thursday, Trump pollsters Tony Fabrizio and Travis TUnies issued a memo -- made public by the campaign -- that asserted that its own polls showed a two-point bump for Trump after the debate while Harris's support had "remained flat.
21% : Harris was widely seen as the victor and, on Thursday, Trump asserted in a social media post that there would be no more debates.
20% : Suggestions included that the pollsters' models of turnout had been off, underestimating rural and exurban turnout for Trump; that Trump supporters, perhaps more distrustful than their Democratic counterparts of polls and the media, were more reluctant to respond to surveys; or that some respondents had simply lied, ultimately backing Trump in the privacy of the voting booth having declined to tell a pollster they were going to do so.

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