NBC Poll Hails Harris' 5-Point Lead, Momentum Flip From July

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

53% : "Harris' lead is "enormously" powered by the "gender gap," according to NBC News analyst Steve Kornacki, as Harris leads among women by 21 points while Trump leads among men by just 12 points.
52% : Kornacki added these polling data points, as the Democrat has gained in many of the long-held, Democrat-stranglehold demographics where Biden was weakened against Trump:Voters under 30 (plus-26 points): Harris is a much younger candidate than Biden or Trump, and Harris flipped a 29-point Trump edge on mental fitness for office to a 20-point edge for her.
45% : Hispanics (plus-21 points): Trump had made huge gains here due to largely Hispanic locales that have been overwhelmed with crowding and crime amid Biden-Harris' immigration failures.
45% : In looking at a chart of the 2024 presidential campaign figures, Harris is the only one with a net-positive feelings, and both Welker and Kornacki pointed out Sen. J.D. Vance, R-Ohio, has the lowest positive rating and Trump has the highest negative rating.
34% : "They can get squishy on Trump, and then in the end they come back and they vote the way they're going to vote on a Republican-versus-Democrat preference for Congress.
27% : The poll comes after the lone presidential debate, where a 57% majority of those polled say it made no change in their vote, but 29% said it made them more likely to vote Harris compared to just 12% for Trump, who largely has a long locked-in MAGA base.
27% : Despite the poll showing all the Harris momentum, Kornacki admitted the overall electorate numbers "are not much different" from the 2020 presidential election decided by mere thousands of votes in key battleground states, keeping the election "within reach" for Trump.
25% : Independents (plus-20 points): Trump had long held an edge on the American middle against Biden.
22% : Trump has long been critical of Welker and NBC News after the 2020 presidential debate.
15% : "NBC News' GOP pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies noted Harris picked up some Republicans who are not locked in on giving Trump another term, but those tend "come back.

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