Good News for Trump: New York Times Swing State Poll Shows Major Shift

  • Bias Rating

    4% Center

  • Reliability

    55% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    -12% Somewhat Liberal

  • Politician Portrayal

    3% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

20% Positive

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
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Bias Meter

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-100%
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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

68% : Trump won that state by 7.2 points.
68% : Even the Times/Siena establishment pollsters know that Trump holds a commanding lead in the Sun Belt.
55% : As you can see in the chart below, the latest available national poll from 2020's most accurate pollsters -- in this case AtlasIntel, Trafalgar Group and Rasmussen Reports -- had Trump winning the national popular vote by a margin of two-to-five points.
51% : According to the new poll, however, Trump has now surged to a five-point lead in the Grand Canyon State.
50% : "If Virginia is close, this election is going to be a landslide for Trump," political analyst David Chapman posted on Sunday.
50% : In short, one simply cannot envision a scenario in which Trump wins the national popular vote, support for Harris drops by double digits in blue states, and yet swing states simultaneously reproduce what officials certified as razor-thin victories in places like Wisconsin and Arizona, where Biden prevailed in 2020 by approximately 20,000 and 10,000 votes, respectively.
49% : For instance, the final 2020 RealClearPolling average showed Trump leading now-President Joe Biden by only one point in Ohio.
49% : Likewise, in 2020 Trump prevailed in North Carolina by slightly more than one percentage point.
45% : Couple that with the fact that 2020's most accurate pollsters show Trump leading nationwide, and only one possible conclusion remains.
29% : But Trump now leads the Tar Heel State by two points.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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