What could be the October Surprise in a political season of surprises?

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

82% : "For months, Trump had the advantage...that has inverted and has been a steady Harris advantage ever since the switch," she said.
59% : Last cycle, in the early morning hours of October 2, 2020, Trump announced he and First Lady Melania Trump tested positive for COVID-19 as part of an apparent superspreader event that began at the fast-tracked Rose Garden ceremony to nominate Amy Coney Barrett as the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg's successor on the Supreme Court.
57% : And still, against all odds, Trump won the 2016 election -- and he did it with 52 percent support of white women, according to exit polls.
48% : A 2024 October Surprise also has the chance of being more impactful for Harris than Trump, a known quantity if ever there was one, according to strategist Scott Jennings, who worked on both of Bush's campaigns.
44% : Clinton would go on to lose that election by a hair, while Trump would win -- in spite of the revelations made public on the 7th, and with the help of an even bigger October Surprise that came weeks later, in the final days of the campaign: a letter that then-FBI Director James Comey sent to Congress informing lawmakers his agency had "learned of the existence of emails that appear to be pertinent to the investigation" into the private email server Clinton used as secretary of state.
44% : Bush Sr., already behind in the polls, never recovered.
42% : "As Shrum recounted to Newsweek about that October Surprise: "The campaign has started moving toward focusing on domestic issues like prescription drug prices and Social Security, Medicare, the environment, and suddenly we were back to the only campaign that Bush wanted to run, which was on 9/11 and basically with him making the argument, 'I am your protector.'
36% : Likewise, would a full-fledged Israeli ground invasion of Lebanon -- looking increasingly likely by the day -- help Trump?
34% : Still, he refused to step aside, insisting he was the only one who could defeat Trump.
31% : That all changed on June 27, when Trump and Biden stepped on stage in Atlanta for the earliest presidential debate in modern history.
28% : "It is going to be hard to 'surprise' the electorate in October about Trump.
16% : ""Neither Harris nor Trump will get credit or blame for major geopolitical changes, and most voters are not focused on those at all," Bennett said.
14% : The rematch between Trump and President Joe Biden was dull.
8% : ""Mostly these will be personal, trying to convince voters just how evil their opponent is: Harris is an American-hating Communist, Trump is a racist fascist and on and on and on," Haggerty said.
6% : Trump's running mate Mike Pence even released his own statement saying he was "offended by the words and actions" used by Trump in the tape.

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