Poll director urges caution about his own swing state survey

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

62% : It's a good sign for Harris, who held the same lead--52 percent to 48 percent--over Trump in a Marquette University Law School poll released on September 11.
57% : Today, Harris is up by 1.8 percentage points on average above Trump in Wisconsin, according to FiveThirtyEight.
52% : Marquette Law School's last poll before election day in 2020 found Biden ahead by 5 percentage points on Trump (48 percent to 43 percent).
46% : Similarly, in 2016, Trump was found behind then-Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, by 3.9 percentage points on average on Election Day, per FiveThirtyEight's tracking.
34% : "Pollsters had adapted their methodologies since the 2016 and 2020 elections, where Trump underperformed in surveys nationwide.
24% : For example, while Trump was found trailing President Joe Biden by 8.4 percentage points on average in the final days of the 2020 election, the former president lost the race by a much slimmer overall margin (4.4 percent).
24% : Trump, however, went on to defeat Clinton despite losing the popular vote by 2.1 percentage points.

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