Harris vs. Trump Polls: Rock Fight, But Kamala Has Slim Edge

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

57% : All in all, if the current polling-average leaders in the battleground states hold on to win (and as expected Harris wins NE-02 and Trump wins ME-02 in the states that allocate electoral votes by congressional district), Harris would have a 276-262 majority in the Electoral College.
54% : Trump has established a small but steady lead in the Sun Belt states of Arizona (currently leading by 1.2 percent, at 48.1 to 46.9 percent) and Georgia (leading by 1.1 percent, at 48.3 to 47.2 percent), and a smaller and shakier lead of 0.5 percent (48.0 to 47.5 percent) in North Carolina.
49% : At this point you'd probably like Harris's odds a bit more (she currently has a 57 percent probability of winning in Silver's complex forecasting model), mostly because she's invested a lot in traditional voter mobilization efforts while Trump has diverted resources into poll-watching and other efforts to build a post-election case for reversing the outcome.
33% : That's why polls narrowly project Trump to win Georgia, for instance, but Harris to expand on Biden's margins in places with lots of white voters like Wisconsin or the 2nd Congressional District of Nebraska.
31% : Her small convention bounce soon faded and there's now no sign she got any significant bounce at all from her strong performance (or if you'd prefer, her opponent's meltdown) in the debate with Trump on September 10.
21% : While individual polls vary as they always do, both nationally and in the battleground states there's what can only be described as gridlock between Harris and Trump.

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