Newsweek Article Rating

Harris, Trump odds of winning in every recent major poll with 10 days left

  • Bias Rating

    -2% Center

  • Reliability

    30% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    14% Somewhat Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    13% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

8% Positive

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
SentenceSentimentBias
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Bias Meter

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

80% : Harris's lead highlights her stability among core demographics, though Trump remains competitive.
79% : This 3-point advantage for Trump indicates his growing momentum, especially among undecided voters in key battlegrounds.
59% : The updated model highlights strong polling for Trump in key swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
59% : This aligns with the RealClearPolitics model, which shows Trump leading by an average of 0.2 points across swing states and projected to win every battleground.
56% : A CNBC poll, conducted by Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies from October 15 to 19 among 1,000 registered voters, shows Trump leading by 2 points, with 48 percent support to Harris's 46 percent.
52% : Currently, the model gives Trump a 53.1 percent chance of winning, with an estimated 2-point Electoral College advantage favoring Republicans in 2024.
49% : On Friday, polling expert Nate Silver reported that his popular election model shows momentum shifting toward Trump, giving him his highest winning odds since August.
46% : Both campaigns were spending Friday in Texas, where Trump was set to emphasize border security at a rally in Austin.
44% : This slight lead for Trump suggests he is gaining ground as both campaigns intensify their outreach efforts.
41% : If realized, this would give Trump a near-landslide of 312 Electoral College votes to Harris's 227.Harry Enten, CNN's polling guru, predicted that a potential "Electoral College blowout" was in the offing, giving a 60 percent chance that the winning candidate will do it with 300 or more Electoral College votes.
33% : Trump mostly avoided mainstream media this week, focusing instead on a Latino roundtable in Florida and a town hall in Georgia to rally evangelical voters.
26% : The Harris campaign focused its efforts this week on attacking Trump, with the help of two big stories in The Atlantic and The New York Times.
15% : A Wall Street Journal poll conducted by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO from October 19 to 22 among 1,500 registered voters shows Trump with a slight national edge over Harris, leading 49 percent to 46 percent.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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