Better off? How the 2024 election could redefine 2020, too - Washington Examiner

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

65% : Trump is looking to become the first president since Cleveland and only the second in history to serve nonconsecutive terms.
56% : But whether Trump or Harris wins will affect how voters remember 2020 years from now.
51% : The pre-pandemic economy and relative international calm are associated with Trump.PATHS TO VICTORY FOR HARRIS AND TRUMP IN 2024If this is how a plurality of voters feel on Election Day, it could be the difference-maker.
45% : It is possible that Trump has stepped on the nostalgia with his wild Madison Square Garden rally and other last-minute reminders of the excesses many voters find offensive.
44% : Harris would make history as the first woman president, an achievement Trump denied Clinton in 2016.
34% : Instead, Trump and Harris enter Election Day tied in the national RealClearPolitics polling average.
33% : The chaotic summer of George Floyd protests, violent crime, and COVID-19 lockdowns are increasingly associated with the Left, even if Trump was president at the time.
32% : Trump was clearly winning his rematch with Biden.
29% : Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) tried to run to the right of Trump on the pandemic response in the Republican primaries.
29% : And it took Harris replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee to keep Trump from having a bigger advantage.
25% : Democrats would still like the election to be a referendum on Trump, while Republicans would prefer voters render their verdict on Biden and Harris.
10% : Harris has leaned heavily on presenting Trump as unstable, unhinged, and dictatorial in the final weeks of the campaign.
7% : Like Ronald Reagan in 1980, former President Donald Trump often asks a question on the campaign trail: "Are you better off than you were four years ago?"Unlike Reagan 44 years ago, Trump is posing this as someone who has already served a term in the White House.
6% : It fits in with another of his campaign slogans: President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris broke it, Trump will fix it.
5% : If Harris beats Trump, he will be a twice-defeated presidential candidate whose defeat of a flawed Hillary Clinton will look flukey and whose remake of the party will be sharply contested in the 2026 and 2028 elections.

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