Iran's oil production at risk of collapse due to Trump sanctions

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

55% : In response to tighter Iranian supply, Chinese refiners are turning to spot cargoes from non-sanctioned sources such as the UAE and West Africa, Kpler said.
54% : FGE reported that the latest batch of crude import quotas for non-state refiners and trading firms totalled 192.6 million tonnes, 6.7 million tonnes more than in 2024, with most companies receiving their full allocation for the year.
45% : Energy consultancy FGE has said Mr Trump's return to the White House could jeopardise up to 1 million bpd of Iran's production and exports this year, with its base case projecting an output decline of 250,000 bdp to 300,000 bpd starting next month.
35% : Trump sanctionsAny Trump administration sanctions look set to target Iran's oil sector with "greater vigour", shifting from a focus on individual shippers to broader targets, such as financial institutions, oil terminals operators, and refineries linked to Iranian oil trade, Dr Shokri said.

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