Why Republicans are at risk of underperforming in a Florida special election: From the Politics Desk

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

60% : The biggest margin for a Democratic-held seat that Trump won at the presidential level was 9 points, coming in Rep. Jared Golden's 2nd District in Maine.
53% : Trump carried Florida's 1st District by 37 points and the 6th District by 30 points in 2024, according to NBC News' Decision Desk.
50% : The district also has plenty of retirees, and in areas where the average age is over 55, Trump only gained about two points last November.
48% : The biggest single precinct-level shift toward Trump in the district (a net-gain of 57 points) came in a precinct that is 52% Black.
45% : The two places where Trump gained the most new ground are significantly less white and less affluent than the district as a whole.
36% : A key question that emerged from 2024 is whether these types of gains are sustainable for Republicans without Trump on the ballot.

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