The Israel-Hamas war: No matter who loses, Iran wins

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

67% : I believe that Iran expects and welcomes all of this.
53% : But when the smoke settles, only one country's interests will have been served: Iran's.
51% : Since the early 1980s, Iran has maintained support for anti-Israeli militant groups and operations.
51% : The Islamic Republic has publicly pledged millions of dollars of annual support to groups and provides advanced military training for thousands of Palestinian fighters at Revolutionary Guard and Hezbollah bases in Iran and Lebanon.
51% : How Iran winsThere are at least three possible outcomes to the war, and they all play in Iran's favor.
50% : Subsidizing conflictTo that end, Iran sent its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps - a branch of Iran's military, usually known as the "Revolutionary Guard" - to Lebanon to organize and support Lebanese and Palestinian militants.
48% : The champion of PalestineThe decisive factor shaping Iran's foreign policy was the 1979 overthrow of the U.S.-friendly, repressive Shah of Iran and the transfer of state power into the hands of a Shiite Muslim revolutionary regime.
48% : Via the Revolutionary Guard and Hezbollah, Iran has encouraged and enabled Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hamas violence, and these Palestinian fighters now represent a crucial element in what foreign affairs analysts call Iran's "Axis of Resistance" against Israel and the United States, which constitutes Iran's chief purpose.
45% : And even if this occurred, the underlying causes that led to this latest outbreak of violence, and the enabling role Iran plays in that process, have not been addressed.
43% : That regime was defined by stark anti-American imperialism and anti-Israeli Zionism.
40% : This last objective is a subtle but clear warning to Hezbollah and Iran to stay out of the fight.
39% : The 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon - in retaliation for Lebanon-based Palestinian attacks against Israel - provided Iran an opportunity to live up to its anti-Zionist rhetoric by challenging Israeli soldiers in Lebanon and checking U.S. influence in the region.
39% : Iran runs a sophisticated smuggling network to funnel weapons into Gaza, which has long been cut off from the outside world by an Israeli blockade.
30% : But Iran cannot risk confronting either state directly.Iranian weapons, funds and training enable surges in Palestinian militant violence against Israel when frustrations boil over, including during the Palestinian uprisings known as the first and second intifadas.Israeli-Palestinian conflicts and death tolls have escalated steadily since 2020.
20% : Attacking normalizationThat is not to say that Iran ordered Hamas' attack on Israel, nor that Iran controls Palestinian militants - they are not Iranian puppets.

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