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Senate GOP sees huge Trump win in Iowa

Jan 15, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    10% Center

  • Reliability

    60% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    -14% Negative

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

53% Positive

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

71% : GOP lawmakers, including those who support Trump and those who want the party to find another standard-bearer in 2024, view Trump as the overwhelming favorite, though they think former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley still has a slim path to challenging for the nomination.
67% : Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.), who endorsed Trump last month, said a big win for Trump in Iowa doesn't mean he'll win New Hampshire but predicted that Haley won't be able to sustain any momentum she might develop in the first two contests.
63% : He expressed his hope that Trump can win early so the party can "consolidate its support around the nominee" quickly.
61% : "Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who has also endorsed Trump, said the former president is the overwhelming favorite to win South Carolina.
58% : Asked about Haley's chances of carrying momentum from New Hampshire to South Carolina, Graham said Trump has a "commanding lead."
57% : Senate Republican Conference Chair John Barrasso (R-Wyo.) - the No. 3-ranking leader - last week became the highest-ranking member of the Senate GOP leadership to endorse Trump.
52% : Romney, who ran for president in 2008 and 2012 -- and won the GOP nomination in 2012 -- predicts Trump will win by a large margin in Iowa, giving him even more momentum heading into the following primaries.
51% : Trump has a smaller lead over Haley in New Hampshire, where Haley is hoping to get a boost from former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's exit from the race.
51% : Trump will do well in the Southern states, no question about it.
50% : I think everyone expects Trump to win Iowa handily," he said.
49% : The Hill/Decision Desk HQ average shows Trump with a 28-point lead over Haley.
48% : "Trump will win by a big margin," Romney when asked to predict the results.
42% : None of those votes are going to Trump," he said of Christie's 12-percent support in the polls in New Hampshire.
41% : If Trump does win Iowa and New Hampshire, however, the race will be over, Cramer said.
41% : And Graham said he's looking for Trump to win Iowa by a historically large margin.
40% : Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and his top deputy, Senate Republican Whip John Thune (S.D.), have held off from endorsing Trump, however.
39% : He described Trump as being "in the catbird seat.
36% : Trump won the New Hampshire Republican primary with 35 percent of the vote in 2016, but the GOP opposition to Trump was divided by five other candidates: former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, former Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) -- all of whom earned double-digit support -- and Christie.
35% : He argued that if Trump does win Iowa, that doesn't mean he'll win New Hampshire.
28% : "Other GOP senators see the race breaking the same way but are even less optimistic about Haley's chances in New Hampshire if Trump wins Iowa by a big margin.
28% : "If it's a two-person race, [Trump] may have very serious problems in New Hampshire.
28% : Nineteen Republican senators have endorsed Trump, and none have endorsed Haley, a sign of where they think the race is headed.
22% : Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah), Trump's biggest critic in the Senate GOP conference, is hoping a perfect storm will come together to slingshot Haley past Trump but he doesn't think it's likely to happen.
17% : If Trump beats Haley on her own turf, Cramer said, "At that point, Donald Trump's the nominee, and we ought to just accept it and get behind him.
17% : But in states that are Midwestern or Western or Northeastern on Super Tuesday, if it's one-on-one, Trump is going to have problems," Gregg predicted.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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