Analysis: Where Harris has, and has not, rebuilt the Democratic coalition

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

60% : "On Monday, the Black Men Vote PAC released a survey that likewise found Harris gaining across Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin with the men they focus on but Trump still roughly matching his improved performance with them in 2020, and showing the potential for even greater gains with younger men.
60% : While surveys had often found Biden consistently underperforming vs. Trump among younger voters, the latest national and state polls generally show Harris restoring a solid advantage with them.
51% : That improvement, combined with a parallel uptick in support from college-educated White voters, allowed him to recapture all three states, after Trump in 2016 had dislodged them from what I called the "blue wall" -- the 18 states that voted Democratic in each presidential election from 1992 through 2012.
50% : On a recent episode of The Daily Blast podcast with Greg Sargent, John Della Volpe, a Harvard Kennedy School expert on youth voting who is advising a super PAC trying to build support among young people for Democrats, said a recent poll he conducted found Harris drawing just over half of younger voters against Trump, after the former president stunningly led Biden with them in the group's previous survey.
46% : Patrick Toomey, a Democratic pollster who conducted the survey with a GOP partner, said gains with a broad range of groups had propelled Harris past Trump.
44% : "There is a path for Trump," Strimple said.
43% : In May, Cook's polling found Trump ahead or tied with Biden in all seven states.
41% : The surveys found Harris numerically ahead of Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona and North Carolina, tied in Georgia and numerically behind only in Nevada.
36% : "Yet it is significant that more working-class voters did not immediately move back to Trump in polls when Democrats replaced their 81-year-old White male nominee with a younger woman who would be the first Black woman and Indian American president.
36% : Amid all his other problems this year, polls had shown Biden largely holding as much support among these blue-collar White voters as he did in his first contest with Trump.
35% : With the concerns about Biden's age and capability eliminated as a factor, Democrats also hope that more of those women may feel free to express their unease about Trump's character and behavior: in a recent national New York Times/Siena poll, almost exactly half of White women without a college degree said they did not believe Trump had the temperament to succeed as president, according to detailed results provided by Siena.Paul Maslin, a Democratic pollster with long experience in Wisconsin, argues that defending Harris against the GOP's culturally based attacks on issues like crime and immigration aimed at these working-class White women is imperative for her campaign.
20% : "Harris' success at recapturing these Democratic-leaning younger, single and non-White voters alienated from Biden while holding his beachhead among older and working-class Whites has created a coalition strong enough to contest all the major battlegrounds, after many of them seemed already lost to Trump.
17% : These trends leave the battleground states within reach for Trump, if he can discipline himself to mount a cohesive campaign against Harris as too liberal and inexperienced, argued Greg Strimple, the Republican pollster on the Cook survey.
8% : Multiple surveys, such as recent national polls by the Pew Research Center, ABC/Washington Post and Monmouth College, as well as Equis' survey of Latino voters, have found that there are far fewer "double hater" voters negative on both Harris and Trump than there were voters negative on both Biden and Trump.

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