Are Stocks Going to Plunge if Donald Trump Wins and Congress Is Split? Here's What History Says About Stock Market Returns in This Scenario.

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

68% : However, stock market returns under Trump were quite different between his first two years in the Oval Office, where he enjoyed a unified Republican Congress, and his final two years, where Democrats controlled the House and Republicans held the Senate.
56% : As of May 21, Trump had secured 2,181 delegates, which is nearing two times the 1,215 delegates needed to win his party's nomination.
51% : The most important for Wall Street would be taxation (both personal and corporate).
50% : Although a stock market plunge is a possibility if Trump wins in November and Congress remains divided, history shows that long-term-minded investors are sitting pretty no matter what happens this election season.
45% : In other words, there's always the chance stocks could plunge with Trump as president and Congress divided.
36% : While Trump would likely push for the continuation of the TCJA rates, which are on track to sunset by Dec. 31, 2025, Democrats are unlikely to be supportive of such a move, given the nation's rising national debt and ongoing fiscal deficit.
22% : On the policy side of things, Trump and the Democrat-controlled portion of Congress would likely feud over a number of issues.
20% : With the understanding that Donald Trump and a split Congress would undoubtedly face challenges, let's dig into the meat and potatoes and see what history has to say about stock market returns when Republicans win the presidency and Congress is split.

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