Better but not stellar: Pollsters faced familiar difficulties in assessing Trump-Harris race

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

64% : That is what the election produced: a modest win for Trump.
60% : That margin was closer than Joe Biden's win by 4.5 points over Trump in 2020.
55% : Trump carried Iowa by 13 points, meaning the poll was off by 16 points -- a stunning divergence for an accomplished pollster.
53% : AtlasIntel estimated Trump was ahead in all seven swing states by margins that hewed closely to the voting outcomes.
44% : Trump won them all, an outcome no pollster anticipated -- except for AtlasIntel of Sao Paulo, Brazil, a firm "about which little is known," as The New Republic noted.
43% : The Iowa poll injected shock and surprise into the campaign's endgame, reporting that Harris had taken a 3-point lead in the state over Trump.
40% : According to RealClearPolitics, Harris held slender, end-of-campaign polling leads in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump was narrowly ahead in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Nevada.
37% : With votes still being counted in California and a few other states more than a week after Election Day, Trump had received 50.1% of the popular vote to Harris' 48.1%, a difference of 2 points.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.