'Blue Mirage' And 'Red Mirage,' Explained: Why Tomorrow's First Swing State Vote Counts May Be Misleading

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

32% : Trump also claimed without evidence during the 2018 midterms that shrinking leads for Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., and Gov. Ron DeSantis -- who both ended up winning their elections but by smaller margins than initial Election Day tallies -- were a result of "large numbers of new ballots" having "showed up out of nowhere," he tweeted, adding "Must go with Election Night!"Trump has suggested repeatedly he won't accept the results if he loses, insisting Democrats can't win unless they "cheat."
31% : Trump used the "red mirage" to allege there was voter fraud in the 2020 election, insisting only votes counted on Election Day were valid.
28% : In an attempt to preempt a loss, Trump claimed without evidence during his 2020 campaign that mailed ballots were susceptible to fraud, a narrative he has largely dropped during his most recent campaign, encouraging his supporters to vote in any way possible.
19% : In an election this close, with polls showing Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris polling within less than two points of each other in all seven battlegrounds, the race might not be called on Election Day.
9% : Trump is laying the groundwork to contest the results by falsely claiming Democrats are allowing undocumented migrants to vote, and that his legal cases, Harris' replacement of Biden at the top of the ticket and negative media coverage of his campaign all amount to election fraud.

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