CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice-president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

89% : Likely voters in North Carolina give Harris a modest edge over Trump as the candidate who's more likely to unite the country (44 per cent Harris to 35 per cent Trump), make them proud as president (46 per cent Harris to 40 per cent Trump) and care about people like them (46 per cent Harris, 42 per cent Trump).
86% : And Harris holds wide margins over Trump as the candidate who 2nd District voters think would unite the country, make them proud as president and care about people like them, with smaller edges over him on the remaining attributes tested in the poll.
49% : She leads Trump, 60 per cent to 36 per cent, among women, while Trump holds a much slimmer edge, 50 per cent to 45 per cent, among men.
48% : Trump faces limited paths to victory should he fail to hold North Carolina - the state where he earned his slimmest margin of victory in 2020 - and a win in Nebraska's 2nd District would open up a path for Harris through the northern "blue wall" states even if she fails to carry any of the Sun Belt battlegrounds.
40% : White likely voters with college degrees currently favor Harris over Trump by a wide margin, which would mark a shift from a narrow divide among this group four years ago.
37% : Harris leads Trump, 79 per cent to 11 per cent, among Black likely voters, a group that in 2020 made up roughly one-quarter of the state's electorate.
36% : Male voters in North Carolina break narrowly toward Trump (51 per cent to 45 per cent) with Harris holding a slight advantage among female voters (50 per cent to 46 per cent), but the gender gap is smaller than that seen in CNN's most recent national survey.
33% : In North Carolina, Harris and Trump stand at 48 per cent each among likely voters.
32% : Both places could be key to either Harris or Trump winning the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.
31% : Trump holds an 8-point advantage over Harris on trust to handle the economy among North Carolina's likely voters, who also side with him on issues relating to crime and safety (by 7 percentage points) and immigration (by 11 points), but give Harris the edge on protecting democracy (by 4 points) and on handling abortion and reproductive rights (by 11 points).
26% : In Nebraska's 2nd District, Trump sees more erosion on the issues on which he's traditionally posted his strongest numbers: likely voters there are closely split between him and Harris on both the economy and immigration, and give Harris the lead on handling crime and safety (by 6 points), democracy (by 14 points) and abortion and reproductive rights (by 21 points).
26% : Nearly six in 10 likely voters in the district call Trump too extreme (57 per cent), and about half (51 per cent)
24% : While Harris' standing among Black likely voters in the poll is currently weaker than the share Biden ended up winning in 2020, that does not reflect significantly increased support for Trump - rather, about one-tenth of Black likely voters currently say they're supporting a third-party candidate or are unsure of their choice.
20% : Trump currently leads Harris among White likely voters in North Carolina, 58 per cent to 39 per cent, a narrower margin than his edge over Biden among White voters who turned out in the 2020 election, according to CNN exit polls.
16% : They're evenly split on whether Harris or Trump more closely shares their view on what the country's biggest problems are, and closely divided on which candidate would bring needed change (44 per cent Trump, 42 per cent Harris) or has clear policy plans to solve the country's problems (42 per cent Trump, 39 per cent Harris).

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.