Forbes Article Rating

Harris Election Betting Odds Rise To Weekly High -- But Trump Still Market's Favorite

Nov 01, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    16% Somewhat Conservative

  • Reliability

    40% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    36% Somewhat Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    26% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

35% Positive

  •   Conservative
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Bias Meter

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

50% : That's the odds FiveThirtyEight's poll-based model gives a Harris win, compared to 52% for Trump.
49% : Presidential election prediction markets drifted Friday toward Vice President Kamala Harris, giving Harris the strongest and former President Donald Trump the weakest probability of winning next week's election in more than a week on betting sites, though oddsmakers still favor Trump.48%.
46% : Other poll-based models indicate a closer split than betting markets do, and the Economist's favors Trump by a 51% to 48% margin.Platforms take wagers for a certain candidate to prevail, with payouts dependent on the market-implied odds on the day of the bet.
43% : Polls indicate an extremely close race between Harris and Trump.
28% : Others have questioned the impact individual traders can have on odd movements, and some like pollster and Polymarket advisor Nate Silver have noted the odds may be skewed toward Trump as the demographic placing these bets could lean right politically.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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