Harris vs. Trump latest presidential poll: Who is winning? Is there a shift back to Donald Trump?
- Bias Rating
- Reliability
70% ReliableGood
- Policy Leaning
10% Center
- Politician Portrayal
-4% Negative
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Bias Score Analysis
The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.
Sentiments
22% Positive
- Liberal
- Conservative
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Reliability Score Analysis
Policy Leaning Analysis
Politician Portrayal Analysis
Bias Meter
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Conservative

Contributing sentiments towards policy:
62% : While that's down from the Times' last national poll, when 47 percent had a favorable view, it still makes Trump more popular than he was in 2016 or 2020. -- Also, Trump has a five-point lead on whatever single issue matters most to voters. -- Trump is seen as a centrist.47% : The poll shows Trump ahead by only 4 percentage points in Texas (50%-46%) and 5 points in Trump's home state of Florida (50%-45%), per the poll.
47% : Abortion, democracy and Project 2025 all stand out as major liabilities in the poll.
43% : So, what is the significance of the Times/Siena latest poll, which gives Trump a one-point national edge over Vice President and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris when nearly every other poll has shown Harris slowly building a slight national lead while also surpassing Trump in many of the crucial swing states?
42% : Cohn points out that Trump has plenty of political weaknesses: A majority of voters still view him unfavorably -- as they always have -- and say he's a "risky choice" for president.
41% : " Harris, however, leads in many national polls and is showing remarkable strength in states Trump believed he had locked up.
40% : Trump was seen as representing "change" by 61 percent of voters, while only 34 percent said he was "more of the same.
2% : The latest surveys from Emerson College show Harris within the margin of error in two states Trump carried in 2020 against President Joe Biden: Florida and Texas.
*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.