Jack Smith's Odds of Convicting Trump for January 6 Wax as Judge Chutkan Hands the Prosecutor One Victory After Another

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

68% : Trump's attorney, John Lauro, told Judge Chutkan that such an endorsement, which came soon before Judge Cannon's ruling, "directed" Trump to similarly challenge Mr. Smith here.
61% : Trump will have until October 24 to submit a formal request to challenge Mr. Smith's appointment in the District of Columbia.
28% : If Trump wins the election, the case could die on the vine upon his return to the White House.
25% : "Trump could face another hurdle, one that has nothing to do with Judge Chutkan's skepticism toward Judge Cannon's jurisprudence, in disqualifying Mr. Smith.
21% : Gone are swaths of text alleging that Trump coerced the Department of Justice into a scheme to reverse President Biden's victory.
21% : That would be a stunning reversal for Trump.
16% : Judge Chutkan, who has handed down harsh prison sentences to many January 6 rioters and initially denied Trump immunity before she was later reversed, also signaled that she is unlikely to follow Judge Eileen Cannon's decision that Mr. Smith was unconstitutionally appointed by General Garland and that the Mar-a-Lago charges against Trump were void.

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