Jay Newton-Small: Are women lining up behind Harris?

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

51% : Non-college educated white women have been voting increasingly Republican -- by a whopping margin of 27 percentage points for Trump in 2016 and 2020.
18% : Of course, Harris isn't running in isolation, and she represents a much larger risk for Trump, who even in campaign speeches on Wednesday was still spending a lot of time attacking Biden and seemed slow to fully accept that his opponent of nearly 1,500 days had stepped aside in favor of a much younger minority woman.
14% : Biden lost them to Trump in 2020 by a margin of 11 percentage points.
5% : Trump's toughest polling moments have almost always been rooted in his perceived misogyny: in October 2016, he and Hillary Clinton were actually tied amongst non-college educated white women after the Access Hollywood tape was released and Trump loomed over Clinton in a debate -- but then James Comey reopened his investigation into Clinton's emails, and the rest is history.

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