Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Republican poll breakthrough

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

80% : FiveThirtyEight's model as well as Nate Silver's model show that Harris is predicted to win in four swing states -- Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin -- while Trump is predicted to win in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona.
56% : Other polls, including a New York Times/Siena College survey have also given Trump a 1-point lead.
55% : Overall, FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows that Harris is 2.7 points ahead of Trump, on 48.5 percent to his 45.8 percent as of Friday midday.
53% : Another poll conducted the week before by Quinnipiac University showed that Trump was 1 point ahead when third party candidates were included, while the two candidates were tied among 1,728 likely voters in a head-to-head matchup.
52% : In early September, Silver's model had predicted that Trump had more than 60 percent chance of winning the Electoral College.
51% : The survey from Echelon Insights, which was cofounded by former Republican digital strategist Patrick Ruffini and pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, found that Harris is 7 points ahead of Trump in a head-to-head matchup, on 52 percent to his 45 percent.
49% : While it marks the first time Echelon Insights has given Harris the lead, the pollster had only done one prior survey in August and Trump was ahead by 1 point among likely voters.
39% : When third-party candidates were included, Harris' lead decreased to 5 points, with 49 percent of likely voters supporting her compared to 44 percent for Trump.
36% : Among those polled, 37 percent said they would "definitely" vote for Trump, while 45 percent said the same for Harris.
19% : Meanwhile, 8 percent said they were "leaning" towards Trump or would "probably" vote for him, and 7 percent said the same for Harris and 3 percent of voters were unsure.

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