PBS Article Rating

Poll: Harris narrowly leads Trump, but he's ahead with these key groups

  • Bias Rating

    10% Center

  • Reliability

    60% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    -8% Negative

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

-4% Negative

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

68% : On the economy, which many polls have shown is the biggest concern for voters, 52 percent of voters give Trump the edge while 48 percent say Harris would handle the economy better.
62% : But 24 percent of Black voters support Trump in the latest poll, three times the support he saw in 2020.
61% : Majority say they will watch Harris-Trump debateAmericans will have their first opportunity to see a direct comparison between the two White House hopefuls when Harris and Trump meet Tuesday night for the ABC News Presidential Debate.
59% : Among these voters, Harris leads Trump by 46 points.
58% : She trails Trump by only 3 points with this group, which Republicans won by 12 points in 2020.
56% : Among registered voters, Harris leads Trump by 1 point -- 49 percent to 48 percent.
55% : Comparing the candidates head-to-head, Trump is trusted by a majority of Americans to handle immigration, the Middle East and the economy, according to this latest poll.
53% : With this group, Trump has the edge by 50 points.
50% : Yet Trump has surpassed Harris with several key constituencies as they prepare for the final sprint of their campaigns.
48% : That is unchanged from August, but Harris has narrowed the gap significantly from July, when Biden trailed Trump by 9 points.
43% : Harris holds a similar 5-point lead over Trump when voters were asked which candidate cares about people like them.
43% : Trump leads on trio of high-profile issuesOn debate night, the two candidates are expected to exchange jabs on a handful of hot-button topics that are most important to voters.
42% : There was a similar 9-point swing since last month among Latino voters, with 51 percent now choosing Trump, versus 47 percent for Harris.
41% : Forty-seven percent say Trump is the change candidate.
38% : It's a significant bump since 2020, when Trump won support from 35 percent of Latino voters, according to AP VoteCast.
37% : "Republican strategist Kevin Madden described the month since Harris secured the Democratic nomination as an "enormous sugar high" for the vice president that has been, up until now, reflected in polling because she was "a new candidate not named Trump or Biden.
35% : "WATCH: Trump is gaining ground with some Black men.
31% : Fifty-six percent of voters say she'd better handle the issue, compared to 42 percent who felt the same about Trump, unchanged from a month ago.
30% : Among independents, Trump holds a 15-point advantage on the issue.
28% : The first 2024 debate between Biden and Trump was perhaps the most consequential presidential debate in modern history, setting off several weeks of Democratic consternation that pressured Biden to end his campaign.
27% : Among independent voters, Harris trails Trump 46 percent to 49 percent, a 7-point dip for the Democratic candidate since August and a return to the narrow lead Trump had over President Joe Biden with these voters in July.
16% : Fact check: As Trump and Harris prepare to debate, what are they likely to say?"There's real benefit in being a change candidate" when polls regularly show a majority of Americans believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, Ayers said.
12% : Comparing Trump's and Harris' differing ideas on how to boost the economyAs Harris has centered issues of reproductive freedom in her campaign, voters continue to give the vice president the lead over Trump on abortion.
8% : Among registered voters, Harris leads Trump by 1 point -- 49 percent to 48 percent, within the margin of error.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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