Townhall Article Rating

Polls Out of This Swing State May Be Even More Crucial Now

  • Bias Rating

    50% Medium Conservative

  • Reliability

    60% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    50% Medium Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    23% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

18% Positive

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  •   Conservative
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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

75% : In Arizona, 45% support Trump to 43% for Harris, a 6-point improvement in support for the vice president since August.
70% : Meanwhile, the Atlas National poll has Trump up in both Arizona and Nevada, with the former being his best state and the widest lead of any of the states, at +3.5.
66% : That's another good state for Trump, too, as RCP has him up by there by +2.2 over Harris.
64% : On the economy, voters say they trust Trump more by 50-41 percent; on immigration they say they trust him more by 52-37 percent; and on foreign policy they trust him more by 49-42 percent over Harris.
61% : Sure enough, CNN also did a segment highlighting Trump's support from a key demographic, inviting viewers to "See why many Latino voters in Nevada are now supporting Trump."
58% : has Trump up by +0.3 in Nevada.
58% : Back in August, they had Harris leading Trump by 48-47 percent.
58% : "Of the five issues voters are asked about when it comes to which candidate they trust more, Trump leads in three of them, and by wide margins.
53% : Trump also has the edge on which candidate "can bring the kind of change the country needs," by 47-41 percent.
46% : Harris does hold a wide lead there among voters younger than 35, though: 53% support her versus 39% for Trump.
45% : The only state where Harris has any edge is in North Carolina, which is at +0.5, the same edge Trump has in Wisconsin.
42% : Those numbers have now flipped, and it's Trump who leads Harris by those same exact margins.
42% : Harris meanwhile has a small lead in Michigan, of 49-48 percent over Trump, and in Wisconsin, where she leads by 49-47 percent.
39% : Harris and Trump are also tied in Pennsylvania, at 48 percent each.
38% : That closer margin is largely driven by the relative lack of a gender gap among White likely voters in the state: Trump has a 15-point lead over Harris among White men (56% to 41%) and a 12-point lead among White women (54% to 42%).
35% : That poll even shows Harris with an edge of 0.2 over Trump, with 47.8 percent to Trump's 47.6 percent.
30% : Dana Bash may be shocked by such findings, but she shouldn't be, as other polls have shown Trump leading with or at least performing better than past Republican nominees have when it comes to Latino voters.
30% : Trump and Harris are meanwhile tied at 47 percent each.
29% : There's good news for Trump on the enthusiasm factor and issues as well.
23% : The CNN poll has me a bit suspect, though, considering that they show Harris up by +1 in Arizona, 48-47 percent, when Trump led by +5 in the late August poll.
20% : While 59 percent of likely voters in Nevada who are voting for Harris say it's a "vote for Harris," while 82 percent of likely Trump voters say theirs is "a vote for Trump.
19% : Independent voters in both states split roughly evenly between Harris and Trump.
14% : Hispanic likely voters in Nevada split about evenly between Harris and Trump (48% support Harris, 47% Trump).
12% : Trump does look to have made some gains in Nevada, as the write-up highlighted:Harris' edge with women is a bit tighter in Nevada (51% support her, 46% Trump).

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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