Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

70% : On Wednesday morning, the platforms claimed that their victory was as resounding as Trump's.
53% : Days before the election, Polymarket odds showed Trump had a 60% chance of winning.
52% : While the markets nailed that outcome, they didn't forecast the popular vote as precisely: On Polymarket at 7 p.m. on Tuesday, Trump had just a 28% chance of winning.
52% : The French trader who pumped more than $30 million into Polymarket is thought to have made $85 million when Trump won.
48% : Election betting on Kalshi and Polymarket had been favoring Trump for weeks.
46% : But Sottile argues that even if the platforms become more mainstream and diversified, prices and predictions will likely stay similar, as there are lots of people trading on the big election issues to balance out differing viewpoints.As we wait to see how Polymarket, Kalshi, and their competitors fare in 2028, there are wagers to place on questions like whether Trump will bar transgender athletes from participating in sports or whether The New York Times gains a certain number of subscribers.
42% : But this wasn't an indication of support: The man, who is known only as Théo, told The Wall Street Journal that he had "absolutely no political agenda" but believed Trump would win.
36% : Kalshi wagers on the popular vote didn't favor Trump until 11 p.m.
28% : Already Kalshi is adding contracts on outcomes of the second Trump administration, like whether Musk or Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will be given a Cabinet position, whether tips will no longer be taxed, or whether Trump will be impeached for the third time.
18% : (Polymarket is taking wagers on whether Trump will end the war in Ukraine during his first 90 days in office, whether he'll declassify documents related to the assassination of John F. Kennedy, and whom he may pardon.)

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