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Presidential election polls 2024: What polls are saying just 2 days before Election Day

  • Bias Rating

    -4% Center

  • Reliability

    70% ReliableGood

  • Policy Leaning

    4% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    -4% Negative

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

12% Positive

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  •   Conservative
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Bias Meter

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-100%
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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

63% : "In the poll, 50% of voters expect Trump to the be next president, while 49% expect Harris to win.
59% : As the campaigns enter their final hours, both Trump and Harris remain busy: Trump has rallies scheduled in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, while Harris made an 'SNL' cameo Saturday night and has planned multiple stops in Michigan.
57% : "Trump and Harris are tied, finds final NBC News pollNationally, Trump and Harris are tied, both getting support from 49% of registered voters in a new poll released Sunday by NBC News.
57% : And when it comes to favorability ratings, Harris took the lead: 50% had a favorable view of Harris, while 48% had a favorable view of Trump.
56% : ABC News/Ipsos poll: Harris leads Trump by 3 pointsA poll released Sunday by ABC News/Ipsos found that Harris has 49% support among likely voters, and Trump trails behind at 46%.
55% : Election 2024 live updates: Harris, Trump rally swing states with 2 days left; new pollsHarris takes lead over Trump in Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa PollThe poll of 808 likely Iowa voters, which includes those who have already voted as well as those who say they definitely plan to vote was released late Saturday and conducted by Selzer & Co. from Oct. 28-31.
52% : Trump and Harris also tied in latest Emerson pollA national poll of likely voters from Emerson College found that Trump and Harris have 49% support each among U.S. voters.
51% : Trump remains ahead in Arizona, and the candidates remain in a close race in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania.
49% : November's poll shows similar results from an October NBC News poll, which also showed Harris and Trump tied at 48% each.
46% : In a surprising turn, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Harris leading Trump in Iowa by three points, a state that previously went for Trump in 2016 and 2020.
46% : "The gender divide is stark, with women favoring Harris by 12 points and men supporting Trump by the same margin.
32% : This follows a September Iowa Poll that showed Trump with four point lead over Harris and a June Iowa Poll, where he had an 18-point lead over President Joe Biden, who was the presumed Democratic nominee at the time.
26% : Harris leads Trump in some swing states, New York Times/Siena poll findsA poll released Sunday by The New York Times and Siena College found that Harris has pulled ahead of Trump in North Carolina and Wisconsin.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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