The Western Journal Article RatingProminent Pollster's Election Model Shows Surge for Trump as Kamala Gets Bad News from Swing States
- Bias Rating
6% Center
- Reliability
60% ReliableFair
- Policy Leaning
-10% Center
- Politician Portrayal
4% Positive
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The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.
Sentiments
28% Positive
- Liberal
- Conservative
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Policy Leaning Analysis
Politician Portrayal Analysis
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Contributing sentiments towards policy:
68% : Trump won the state by 8.2 percentage points.61% : Either way, for all his juggernaut-ish qualities as a political figure, Trump may very well owe a particular thanks to Kennedy for this recent surge.
59% : To illustrate that point, I like to remind readers that in 2020 the final RealClearPolling average showed Trump with a narrow one-point lead over Biden in the expected swing state of Ohio.
59% : Thus, the fact that Silver has already made Trump a strong favorite means that the former president almost certainly has a much larger lead than any of the more pro-Harris polling averages suggest.
56% : According to the polling aggregator InteractivePolls on the social media platform X, Aug. 23 represents a key date in the momentum shift toward Trump.
51% : Thus, as of Friday, Silver gave Trump a 61.5 percent chance of winning the election compared to Harris's 38.3 percent.
49% : At that point, Silver gave Harris a 53.5 percent chance of winning the election compared to 46.1 percent for Trump.
49% : Silver gave Trump a 67 percent chance of victory in Georgia and a 62 percent chance in Pennsylvania.
45% : In fact, Kennedy and Trump appeared together that evening at an electrifying rally in Arizona.
41% : On that date, however, Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspended his campaign and forged an alliance with Trump.
40% : That aggregate, featuring "mediocre swing state polls for Harris" of late, showed the vice president with a narrow lead, though that obviously did not stop Silver from giving Trump a 62 percent chance of winning the state.
38% : That would flip Arizona and its 11 electoral votes to Trump based on the 2020 election's certified results.
*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.