Swing-state scorecard: Harris and Trump enter Election Day virtually tied

  • Bias Rating

    50% Medium Conservative

  • Reliability

    65% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    50% Medium Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    8% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

8% Positive

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
SentenceSentimentBias
Unlock this feature by upgrading to the Pro plan.

Bias Meter

Extremely
Liberal

Very
Liberal

Moderately
Liberal

Somewhat Liberal

Center

Somewhat Conservative

Moderately
Conservative

Very
Conservative

Extremely
Conservative

-100%
Liberal

100%
Conservative

Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

59% : RealClearPolitics's polling average in the Peach State also shows Trump at 49.3% to Harris's 47.4%, while the New York Times's average shows him at a 1-point lead, 49% to 48%.
57% : Harris is now leading Trump in Michigan, according to several polling averages.
56% : A RealClearPolitics polling average shows Trump leading by more than 2 points, 48.9% to 46.3%.
56% : FiveThirtyEight's average also shows Trump leading in Arizona by more than 2 points, 49.1% to 46.5%.
55% : A New York Times/Siena College survey found Harris gaining in North Carolina and Georgia, while Trump has momentum in Pennsylvania and Arizona.
52% : A Marist poll showed Harris leading Trump by 2 points, 50% to 48%, among likely voters in the state, and by 5 points among independents, 51% to 45%.
51% : Trump, for his part, will watch the results roll in from West Palm Beach, Florida -- not at his Mar-a-Lago estate but at the Palm Beach County Convention Center.
50% : Yet Marist's poll shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points in the state, 51% to 48%, among Michigan likely voters, a decrease from the September poll when she led by 5 points.
48% : GeorgiaGeorgia is another Sun Belt state where Trump consistently leads Harris in polls by roughly 2 points, according to the Washington Post average.
48% : The Washington Post's model shows Harris leading Trump by less than 1 point.
47% : Other sources that show a lead for Trump include the polling averages for the Washington Post and the New York Times, with the latter putting Trump's lead at 3 points.
47% : The New York Times's polling average shows Trump leading by 1 point, 49% to 48%, over Harris.
46% : Meanwhile, a shock poll from veteran pollster Ann Selzer in Iowa found Trump behind by 3 percentage points in a state he won comfortably in 2020.
46% : A Marist College poll of likely voters in the Keystone State shows Harris leading Trump 50% to 48%, which follows a September poll in which the two were tied at 49%.
44% : In the most important battleground of them all, Harris and Trump remain neck-and-neck.
43% : The New York Times finds Harris has a narrow edge at 49%, compared to Trump at 48%.
42% : NevadaIn past iterations of the scorecard, Harris has eked out a slight edge over Trump in Nevada.
42% : WisconsinLike Michigan, Harris has polled consistently over Trump in Wisconsin over the past several weeks.
39% : A RealClearPolitics polling average of the seven battleground states shows Trump has a slight edge at 48.5%, compared to Harris at 47.7%.
36% : The Washington Post polling average shows Harris with a tiny advantage of less than 1 point, but RealClearPolitics's average also shows Trump with just a 0.3-point lead, 48.3% to 48%.
34% : Harris and Trump held dueling rallies in the state on Friday in the Milwaukee area, with rapper Cardi B joining Harris in her final stop in the state.CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE GAZETTE
32% : Featured Local SavingsThe New York Times polling average shows the candidates tied at 48%, while the Washington Post's averages show Trump with a less-than-1-point lead over Harris.
32% : Both RealClearPolitics's and FiveThirtyEight's averages in the Silver State show Trump narrowly leading Harris by no more than 1 point.
27% : "He does not believe women should have the agency and authority to make decisions about their own bodies," Harris said in her remarks, attacking Trump over abortion access.
20% : Trump made immigration his focus out West while grabbing headlines for suggesting former Rep. Liz Cheney, a prominent Republican critic, would reevaluate her hawkish foreign policy views if she had guns "trained on her face."2.
18% : Trump spent the weekend into Monday barnstorming the state, which he needs to win along with Georgia and Pennsylvania to defeat Harris.
15% : Days earlier, Trump supporters turned out in droves to cast early ballots in one of the state's bellwether counties in a shift from four years ago, when Trump discouraged early voting with his unsubstantiated claims of fraud.
9% : Recent CNN polls conducted by SSRS showed Trump at 48% and Harris at 47% among likely voters, but these and other surveys are within the margin of error.
9% : Trump met with Arab American leaders in Dearborn, Michigan, on Friday as Harris struggles to deal with the fallout from the Israel-Hamas war before he campaigned in Warren, Michigan, that same day.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

Copy link