Taiwan's Elections Aren't All About China

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

52% : While certain small progress in trade relations and symbolic political gestures could be expected if Beijing is happy with the result, there is little evidence to support the idea that China's aggressive military posture and threats toward Taiwan would just magically go away if a certain politician or party wins.
47% : Voters, as polling shows, are treating the election as a referendum on its outgoing ruling president Tsai Ing-wen's domestic policies and public satisfaction over the ruling party's governance over past few years, not a vote on Taiwan's political identity or an expression of being "pro-China" or "anti-China," as outside commentaries and reports have often assumed.
46% : Voters, as polling shows, are treating the election as a referendum on its outgoing ruling president Tsai Ing-wen's domestic policies and public satisfaction over the ruling party's governance over past few years, not a vote on Taiwan's political identity or an expression of being "pro-China" or "anti-China," as outside commentaries and reports have often assumed.Nearly 20 million voters out of Taiwan's population of 23.5 million people are eligible to vote on Saturday to elect their new president as well as all the seats in the Legislative Yuan -- Taiwan's unicameral parliament -- for the next four years.
42% : This means that Taiwan's elected politicians and government, regardless of political party, will continue to face public opinion pressure to maintain Taiwan's sovereign identity and reject any Chinese attempt to impose serious political negotiation, let alone a talk of unification.
40% : Continuing from Taiwan's last local elections in November 2022, in which DPP suffered a landslide defeat, Taiwanese media headlines and public discourse throughout 2023 have been mostly centered on Tsai and her governance, scandals involving DPP politicians, and domestic issues such as crime and the state of Taiwan's economy.

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