The Democrats' Secret Weapon in the Sunbelt States: Unions

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

59% : On Monday, the New York Times ran polling numbers suggesting that Trump was ahead by 5 percent in Arizona.
51% : The newspaper blared out in its headline that the Republican nominee is showing "signs of strength" in the Sunbelt, despite most other polls suggesting that Harris and Trump are running close to even.
49% : Pollsters I have spoken to in recent months who specialize in surveying the western states do not believe that Trump has a safe cushion in the Grand Canyon state.
45% : In early August, with Harris's campaign taking shape, she had 13 field offices in Nevada, compared to one for Trump.
38% : Yes, many union members remain deeply resentful of the pandemic lockdowns that shuttered Las Vegas and sent the state's unemployment rate to an eye-popping 30 percent in the spring of 2020, and Trump has been able to at least partially parlay that resentment.
26% : Now there's certainly room for ticket-splitting voters in both Arizona and Nevada -- and Noble's polling suggests a far smaller lead for Harris over Trump than for Rosen over Brown.

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