The Polls Give Us One Data Point, But Not The Whole Story

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

64% : Trump wins 46 times out of 100."Professor Allan Lichtman, "who has correctly predicted almost every presidential election since 1984" with his 13 keys methodology, predicts Kamala Harris will win.
48% : The lack of polling accuracy has been getting lots of press in recent years and pollsters have been defending their practices with more transparency and complicated metrics, but without values and emotions defining the results, numbers don't tell the whole story.Consider a sampling of recent diverse approaches and predictions:The New York Times/Siena College Poll, a more traditional approach, has Trump ahead by one percentage point.538 who "uses polling, economic, and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes" reports that "Harris wins 53 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

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