The Real Youth-Vote Shift to Watch

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

61% : Among likely young women voters, Biden leads Trump by 33 points in the new Harvard poll; among young men, he only leads by six.
58% : More American men than women support Trump -- and that gap is growing.
54% : A handful of surveys from late last month suggested that Trump is performing better among young voters than he did in 2020 -- even, in some cases, better than Joe Biden.
48% : In a recent survey of young voters from the nonpartisan polling organization Split Ticket, Biden led Trump by 10 points, and the young voters who did abandon Biden weren't going to Trump -- they were going to independent candidates like RFK Jr.The real themes to watch in 2024, experts told me, are youth turnout and the growing gender divide.
47% : "A brand-new poll from Harvard throws even more ice-cold water on the "great realignment" theory: Biden leads Trump by 19 points among likely voters under age 30, according to the poll, which was published today and is considered one of the most comprehensive surveys of young voters in the country.
36% : So if young voters were to turn toward Trump, that would be an enormous deal.
19% : Several other youth-voter polls from last month showed Biden on par with Trump, and even beating him.
7% : Biden and Trump are historically unpopular presidential candidates among all age groups.

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