This small sliver of late-deciders could swing the election

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

69% : Likewise, 58 percent of women support Harris, an 18-point advantage over Trump, up from Biden's 12-point lead with this group in 2020.
57% : Harris has support from 61 percent of non-white registered voters, growing her lead over Trump from 10 points last month to 25 points in this latest poll.
53% : Seventeen percent of Black voters support Trump, double the number who voted for him in 2020.
48% : Fifty-seven percent of men in this poll say they will vote for Trump, giving him a 16-point advantage over Harris.
46% : Four years ago, Trump beat Biden among men by just 5 points, according to AP VoteCast surveys of voters.
45% : Harris holds a 21-point lead - 60 percent to 39 percent - over Trump among likely voters with a college degree, up from a 16-point difference in the 2020 election.
44% : Despite the historically late shakeup at the top of the Democratic ticket, few events are likely to dramatically affect perceptions of Harris and Trump at this stage.
40% : In the poll, 54 percent of likely voters without a college degree say they plan to vote for Trump, a 10-point advantage over Harris and more than double the 4-point lead Trump had in 2020, according to AP VoteCast data.
9% : Among likely voters, Harris leads Trump by 2 points - 50 percent to 48 percent, within the margin of error.

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