Trump enters Election Day with the tiniest of edges over Kamala Harris

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

83% : So far, so good for Trump.
71% : But looking at the polling and what has happened already, I believe Trump has the very slightest of advantages.
64% : Angered by Republican positions on abortion, positive about Harris' character ("she just makes me feel good") and horrified by Trump, women like Wendy and Nora could storm the suburbs for Harris and deliver her the states she needs to win.
58% : But as I gather up my notes from my final focus group, Sheree's voice ringing in my ears, I think Trump goes into it with the tiniest of edges in an historically close race.
55% : The city was packed with snow then, but the words voters use about Trump are the same now as then and in the scores of other focus groups in between.
55% : Trump won in 2016 by turning out these non-voters, and he may be about to do the same again.
54% : Rural counties are turning out in Georgia, with the top counties for early votes being ones that heavily backed Trump in 2020.
48% : Our final JL Partners poll of the cycle has Trump winning 45 per cent of Hispanic voters, a ten-point jump on what he achieved in 2020.
47% : Harris still leads Trump by two points in America's suburban areas, which have often plotted the path to the White House.
36% : The first undermines the adage that the least favourably viewed candidate loses; people dislike Trump, but they still pick him to be their man.
33% : That again bodes well for Trump, who leads Harris among previous non-voters by double digits.
30% : Though Trump has also increased his lead with men (from 5 points over Biden in 2020 to 22), men are less likely to get off the couch and get to the voting booth.
22% : The other white women in the group picked Kamala Harris, referencing her commitment to women's rights and "not being Trump".

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