Trump traders could be courting some big losses
- Bias Rating
36% Somewhat Conservative
- Reliability
70% ReliableGood
- Policy Leaning
50% Medium Conservative
- Politician Portrayal
8% Positive
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By creating an account, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy, and subscribe to email updates. Already a member: Log inBias Score Analysis
The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.
Sentiments
15% Positive
- Liberal
- Conservative
| Sentence | Sentiment | Bias |
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Reliability Score Analysis
Policy Leaning Analysis
Politician Portrayal Analysis
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Contributing sentiments towards policy:
71% : It's all possible -- if Trump wins.64% : That's a sure sign traders think Trump will win the presidential election, making Trump's flagging Truth Social app an essential destination for everybody orbiting Trumpworld.
61% : That's the largest lead Trump has had in betting markets since Harris replaced Joe Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket in July.
60% : In 2016 and 2020, polls underestimated support for Trump.
44% : In betting markets, Trump and his Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, were tied as recently as early October.
41% : With this year's polls basically tied, Trump would be the obvious winner if he once again outperformed by a couple of percentage points.
34% : Jim Bianco of Bianco Research points out that in betting markets, anything less than 66% odds for Trump is the equivalent of a toss-up.
33% : "Political analysts, on the other hand, still see the race as very tough, and biased to Trump, but close enough to 50-50."Read more: What the 2024 campaign means for your wallet: The Yahoo Finance guide to the presidential electionThe reason for that possible bias toward Trump is polling inaccuracy.
32% : Trump would only be clearly favored if his odds in better markets were above 66%, and they're not.
31% : Interest rates are rising in the belief that Trump will slash taxes once again and push deficits higher, putting upward pressure on rates.
20% : But Trump might lose, and there are some signs that investors may be overestimating Trump's election odds and placing a lot of bets that might go bust.
*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.