Trump's Iowa lead shrinks significantly as Kamala Harris replaces Biden, Iowa Poll shows

Sep 15, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    -50% Medium Liberal

  • Reliability

    55% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    -10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    19% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

13% Positive

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

100% : 'Younger, more with it': Enthusiasm for Kamala Harris tops excitement for Donald TrumpFollowing the summer switch from Biden to Harris, enthusiasm among likely voters who support Harris outpaces enthusiasm among likely voters who support Trump.
76% : "Biden, God bless him, he's the only one that could have beat Trump four years ago.
75% : Independent Iowa voters lean toward TrumpTrump and Harris each get strong majorities of support from their party bases.
72% : "Trump also performs best with likely voters who describe themselves as evangelical, as well as those who live in rural areas, while Harris' best groups are those with a college degree and suburban dwellers.
60% : "She paid (Trump) back for all he did to Biden in the first one," she said.
57% : Nick Finley, a 41-year-old Melcher resident and poll respondent, is an independent voter who plans to vote for the first time and to support Trump.
55% : "I wouldn't say 4 points is comfortable" for Trump, said pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co.
55% : Independent men support Trump 46% to 33% over Harris, while independent women support Harris 40% to 35% over Trump.
53% : And then you've got Trump, who's a billionaire or whatever he is.
50% : Independent voters lean toward Trump, with 41% supporting him and 36% supporting Harris.
49% : Republican likely voters support Trump over Harris 94% to 2%.
48% : "He seems more for the people," he said of Trump.
44% : A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows that Trump leads Vice President Harris 47% to 43% among likely Iowa voters -- a far slimmer margin than the 18-point lead the former Republican president enjoyed over Democratic President Biden in late spring.
44% : And likely Democratic voters support Harris over Trump 95% to 2%.
44% : Harris also leads Trump with the small group of suburban women who responded to the Iowa Poll -- 69% to 27%.
41% : Before Biden ended his reelection campaign, a June Iowa Poll showed Trump leading 50% to 32%.
38% : It also shows a sharp divide between men and women likely voters -- Trump leads with men 59% to 32% over Harris.
38% : He said he's decided to cast a vote in this year's presidential race because he believes the justice system has been "railroading Trump.
37% : He's leaning toward Trump and hopes the former president will cut government spending and inflation.
35% : This is the Iowa Poll's first test of Harris' strength against Trump since she became the Democratic Party's presidential nominee in August.
34% : That's about on par with Trump, who is viewed favorably by 48% of Iowans and unfavorably by 51%, with another 2% who are not sure.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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