Trump's Opportunity in Lebanon

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

73% : In another sign of how Lebanon may be given special attention in Trump 2.0, the president-elect granted an exclusive interview to the Lebanese MTV channel in the final weeks before the elections, promising that things would turn out well for the people of the country under his watch.
62% : Trump attaching a special importance to Lebanon would be consistent with his family-influenced foreign policy approach in the Middle East.
56% : Pursuing such an approach is almost certain to have a better chance at success than the maximum-pressure campaign waged during Trump 1.0.
53% : Given how Hezbollah represents a vital national interest for Iran, a reduced focus on undermining the Lebanese Shiite movement could be an important confidence-building measure that may help Trump bring Tehran to the negotiating table to discuss a nuclear deal and possibly even a wider regional understanding.
52% : Given these dynamics, there exists a strong case for Trump to adjust American policy regarding Lebanon.
50% : His elder son-in-law Jared Kushner played an outsized role in the Abraham Accords during Trump 1.0, by which the U.S. successfully brokered the normalization of ties between Israel and several Arab states.
48% : More importantly, an end to the war in Lebanon could be pivotal to reaching a new agreement with Iran, something Trump has openly declared he wishes to pursue.
39% : Nevertheless, as observers have pointed out, it is likely that Trump and not his aides will be running the show this time.
37% : This would allow Trump 2.0 to focus on more pressing issues like competition with China.
34% : (Trump has reportedly greenlit a ceasefire proposal between Lebanon and Israel, although, according to Lebanese media, sticking points remain.)
25% : Trump has made more than one gesture to this effect, raising hopes that his return to the White House may end the suffering in the war-ravaged country.
24% : For such an endeavor to succeed, however, Trump would need to abandon Washington's long-standing anti-Hezbollah Lebanon policy.

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