Forbes Article Rating

Trump's Polymarket Election Odds Top 65% - As Site Investigates Big Bets

Oct 22, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    34% Somewhat Conservative

  • Reliability

    60% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    48% Medium Conservative

  • Politician Portrayal

    39% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

17% Positive

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
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Bias Meter

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

49% : Also noteworthy: Trump beat Hillary Clinton in 2016 despite facing roughly 17% betting market-implied winning probability.
44% : Yet popular polling-based prediction models like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin and FiveThirtyEight both give Harris and Trump 50% respective odds to win the election..
42% : The betting odds of former President Donald Trump winning next month's election rose to their highest level since President Joe Biden ceded way to Vice President Kamala Harris in July, though the increasingly popular election betting platform Polymarket reportedly is investigating the source of the massive wagers driving the odds shift amid scrutiny into the eight-figure bets on Trump.
38% : Bloomberg noted the $43 million placed on Trump and other victorious Republican election scenarios across four Polymarket accounts are not based domestically, according to an anonymous source, corroborating a Friday report in Reuters.
30% : The trend toward Trump comes as Polymarket looks into the source of recent bets which contributed to the tilt and whether they came from U.S. entities, Bloomberg reported Tuesday, citing unnamed sources.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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