What polling says about key 2024 Senate races

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

62% : However, that year, Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney carried the Big Sky State by about 14 points, whereas Trump won it by 20 and 16 points in 2016 and 2020, respectively.
54% : These three contests undoubtedly constitute the GOP's top Senate targets in 2024, given that Trump carried each state in 2016 and 2020 and looks very likely to do so again this November.
32% : 538 doesn't yet have enough polling for a Montana presidential average, but Trump has led Harris by 15 or more points in most surveys, which suggests his margin of victory might once again be larger than Romney's.
26% : This year, Trump leads Harris in Ohio by around 10 points, so while Brown likely won't need nearly as many split-ticket voters as Tester, he will still need a fair number of voters who back Trump to vote for him, too.

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