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What South Carolina exit polling tells us about Haley's home-state loss

Feb 25, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    -6% Center

  • Reliability

    20% ReliablePoor

  • Policy Leaning

    10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    -23% Negative

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

-6% Negative

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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

55% : About 7 in 10 voters said they trust Trump more than Haley to handle border security, with about two-thirds giving him the edge to handle the economy.
53% : More than three-quarters of voters said they made their minds up before this year even began, with an overwhelming majority of those early deciders backing Trump.
51% : And echoing a dynamic that's been present throughout the campaign, there was a significant educational divide: Voters who are college graduates were closely divided between Trump and Haley, while three-quarters of those without a college degree - the majority of South Carolina's GOP electorate - supported Trump.
44% : About one-third of primary voters said that both Haley and Trump have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president, with just under 4 in 10 saying that only Trump does, and slightly more than one-quarter that only Haley does.
43% : That's a shift from the 2016 Republican primary in South Carolina, when Trump performed only a few points better among White evangelicals than with the rest of the electorate.
36% : While most Haley voters also said they were primarily motivated by support for her, a substantial minority - about 4 in 10 - said their vote was mostly a way to express opposition to Trump.
33% : But about 6 in 10 said Trump would be very likely to defeat Biden in November, with only about one-quarter saying Haley would be very likely to win.
30% : Trump had the support of more than 80% of voters who described themselves as very conservative, as well as a smaller majority of those who considered themselves somewhat conservative, while Haley won over the small contingent of moderates.
26% : About 8 in 10 said Trump would be at least somewhat likely to defeat Biden in November if he's the nominee, with more than half saying Haley would be likely to win as the Republican nominee.
25% : And only about one-third of South Carolina primary voters said they'd consider Trump unfit for the presidency if he were convicted of a crime.
19% : Trump won roughly three-quarters of the vote among White evangelicals, while other voters in the state were more closely split between Trump and Haley.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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