Where Kamala Harris lost big city voters in the battlegrounds

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

59% : It has a large concentration of Puerto Ricans and was an area where Trump saw some of his biggest gains.
56% : There were some shifts toward Trump, but it was ultimately the turnout drop in staunchly Democratic precincts that had the greatest impact on urban margins.
51% : This year, those precincts, almost all of which are higher-income and higher-educated, in aggregate shifted toward Trump by roughly 0.6 percentage points.
48% : How individual voters cast their ballots is not known, but stark residential segregation along lines of race and class suggests clear patterns in which voters swung toward Trump the most, and who stayed home this time.
46% : Trump won roughly 46 percent of Hispanic voters nationally, up some 14 percentage points from four years ago, according to exit polls.
41% : That decline in city voter participation does not alone explain Harris' defeat -- Trump improved on his 2020 margins all across the battlegrounds, including in purple suburbs and rural red counties.
41% : That turnout drop accounted for much of what looks like a shift toward Trump in Black neighborhoods.
41% : Despite Harris' repeated stops in Milwaukee, for example, the traditional liberal bastion lurched toward Trump and provided little defense for her as he rode a wave of support across the rest of Wisconsin.
40% : Harris had been banking on robust turnout from a wide range of voters in cities, across race, income, and education -- but Trump eroded that coalition.
38% : Harris still commandingly won the precincts where at least 85 percent of residents are Black in the six cities analyzed by POLITICO, receiving 94.6 percent of the two-party votes -- a total of more than 200,000 votes compared to fewer than 11,500 for Trump.
38% : We prefer crazy motherflower who actually has done something or try to do something [different], and let's see what happens with Trump," said Charito Morales, co-founder of Philly Boricuas, which conducted voter outreach for the Harris campaign in Fairhill and elsewhere.
37% : For instance, Trump received nearly 3,400 more votes than he had in 2020 across the 476 "predominantly Black" precincts in the six cities, defined for POLITICO's analysis as places where at least 85 percent of residents are Black.
37% : "In the majority-white parts of the city, a lot of them voted a little bit more, had a little bit higher turnout, maybe netted a few more votes for the Harris campaign," Johnson said, "but not the kinds of dramatic changes that we've seen in some of the past cycles."He added that Harris' electoral woes were exasperated by the fact that Trump made gains in some of the least-educated wards.
35% : The decreased turnout and the shifts toward Trump were apparent across both low-income and middle-income Hispanic precincts.
30% : Combined, those areas swung 8.2 points toward Trump and turnout dropped by more than 11 percent.
20% : The majority-Hispanic neighborhoods in the six cities almost universally broke for Trump.

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