AOL Article Rating

Will RFK Jr. help Trump by dropping out and endorsing him? Here's what the polls say.

Aug 24, 2024 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    10% Center

  • Reliability

    50% ReliableFair

  • Policy Leaning

    10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    -26% Negative

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

18% Positive

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  •   Conservative
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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

58% : As the vice president has gained ground -- she now leads Trump by 2 to 3 points after initially trailing him by 5 or 6 -- Kennedy has steadily shed support.
53% : In a Yahoo News/YouGov survey from last October, for example, RFK Jr. got 9% of the vote in a three-way match up with Trump and President Biden.
53% : A quid pro quo deal to award Kennedy a Cabinet position in exchange for his endorsement -- something the independent may or may not be angling for -- could tip some of Kennedy's voters toward Trump.
45% : But how many of Kennedy's remaining voters -- who again represent about 4% of the electorate -- will now go to Trump?
38% : Now that Harris is the Democratic nominee, however, the numbers have largely converged; Kennedy currently averages just 4% in a three-way match-up with Harris and Trump.
32% : Disaffected by definition, Republican-leaning Kennedy voters have had ample opportunity to support Trump in the past; instead of swinging his way, they could back a different third-party candidate, like Libertarian Chase Oliver.
26% : With Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s announcement on Friday that he's suspending his troubled independent bid for the presidency and urging his supporters in key swing states to cast their ballots for Donald Trump, many political observers are asking a simple question:Will Kennedy's decision help Trump catch up to -- or even defeat -- his Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris?In politics, the future is impossible to predict.
25% : And it's unclear whether Kennedy's running mate, the wealthy Silicon Valley lawyer Nicole Shanahan, will now give Trump the millions of dollars she's given Kennedy.
12% : If Trump were to immediately gain 55% of Kennedy's remaining voters, explains data journalist Nate Silver, Harris's average national lead would shrink from 2.5% to 2.1%.
9% : So it's no surprise that when poll respondents are asked how they would vote both with and without Kennedy on the ballot, about 55% of Kennedy's remaining voters break for Trump, on average, and about 45% break for Harris.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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