Will the gender gap decide the 2024 election?

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

95% : "If you add in their preference for Harris over Trump, this should be very good news for Harris."
64% : Harris had a 11-point advantage among women, 53% to 42%, while Trump had a 5-point advantage among men, 50% to 45%.
59% : The ABC News/Ipsos survey found an average of 55% support for Harris among Hispanic likely voters and 41% for Trump.
54% : Trump is leading with white men by 13 points, according to the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll, and among non-college educated white men and women by roughly 30 points.
47% : Trump, meanwhile, has focused on driving men to the polls, particularly younger and apolitical men who vote at lower rates than other groups.
45% : Trump has also ramped up efforts to court Hispanic voters, which also has its own significant gender divide, more this campaign than in his previous presidential bids.
43% : Some observers are bracing for a "gender chasm" between Harris and Trump.
42% : And while he leads with white women, the largest voting bloc in the U.S., Trump is only edging out Harris by 4 points: 50% to 46%.
40% : Trump's surrounded himself with hyper-masculine figures on the trail, including Elon Musk and Hulk Hogan.
31% : A 538 analysis of national polling crosstabs in October from its most highly-rated pollsters found the average gender gap was slightly wider: 10 points for Harris among women and 9 points for Trump among men.
31% : "It is unknown which candidate early voters are casting their ballots for and unlike in 2020, when Trump discouraged mail-in voting, more Republicans are voting early this year.
26% : "I think Trump is trying to drive up his vote among men," said Ayres.
24% : (Trump won white women by 11 points in 2020 against Biden.)
19% : The reverse is true for Trump.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.