Your guide to the chaotic 2024 polling year ahead

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

48% : Weighting a poll to match the 2020 election results is increasingly common among pollsters, especially as a way to account for the underestimation of Trump and the GOP in the past two presidential races.
46% : If you see a poll showing President Joe Biden leading Trump by 2 points -- like this week's New York Times/Siena College poll did -- it's not statistically significant.
36% : And in our polarized country in which hyper-consequential elections come down to narrow margins, what does it really mean for one candidate to be "leading?"It's not even 2024, but the debates over the polling between Trump and President Joe Biden have already started.
24% : Pollsters have found that traditional measures of party identification may not be sufficient -- for example, Republicans who respond to polls are generally less supportive of Trump than those who don't.

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