Is Tennessee already Trump's? How Super Tuesday could play out in the Volunteer State

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

80% : "I love Tennessee," Trump said.
63% : Trump spoke to an enthusiastic crowd of about 1,500 last month at the National Religious Broadcasters convention at the Gaylord Opryland Resort and Convention Center, vowing to support Christians if elected.
57% : Tennessee is a deeply red state politically, and Trump carried the Volunteer State in 2016 and 2020 with just over 60% of the vote.
57% : An exclusive Tennessean/Siena College poll in December reported that 49% of respondents would like Trump to be the next president, while 20% said they prefer Biden to remain in office.
55% : "This is really a very unique presidential primary because, in essence, we have two incumbents," said Kent Syler, professor of political science and public policy at Middle Tennessee State University.
53% : Trump roundly defeated competitors, pulling 72% support from respondents in January 2024 Republican primary poll by the Beacon Center of Tennessee, while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (who has since suspended his campaign) netted 12%, and South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley drew 7%.
49% : In many cases, local officials have a much more direct impact on voters than who occupies the White House - whether it's determining property values (the basis of property tax calculations), or making watershed decisions on local school funding.
48% : Despite a tight calendar of court appearances and campaigning, Trump is the only candidate to have made a stop in Tennessee in recent weeks, visiting Nashville for a fundraiser and speech just two days ahead of the South Carolina primary - which he won handily.
46% : Four years later, polls show Tennessee voters continue to be fiercely loyal to Trump - despite three criminal indictments and two impeachments.
46% : How likely is it that Trump and Biden will their respective primaries?
41% : There's strong support for Trump (44%) among independents, but just as many (44%) want someone else, or remain undecided.
40% : According to the December 2023 Vanderbilt poll, 56% of Republican voters prefer Trump, to 20% who support DeSantis, and 12% who back Haley.
40% : "It remains unclear what, if any difference the efforts will make to move the needle away from Trump in Tennessee.
37% : "Your primary is Tuesday, March 5 - less than two weeks from now, so get out there and vote - and I have a feeling you're going to vote for a guy named Trump.
36% : "We don't really know what's going to happen, especially looking at the two-party system, what's going to happen with Trump, and with Nikki Haley still in the race," Carlee Brian, a government teacher in West Nashville told The Tennessean.
30% : Sixty-three percent of Republican respondents to a Beacon Center poll said they would vote for Trump even if he is convicted of a crime.
26% : Trump has yet to be beaten by his last remaining competitor, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley - having now trounced her by wide margins in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina, and Michigan.
26% : Southeast voter Valerie Matthews also said she was motivated to vote "to keep Trump out.
22% : Is Tennessee already Donald Trump's?
20% : Head-to-head against Haley, the Vanderbilt poll found Trump had a 46-point lead.
12% : More voters on both sides of the aisle indicated that they were motivated to vote against Trump than for Biden or Haley.
9% : Koch-funded Americans For Prosperity Action and partner groups have spent more than $2.4 million backing Haley and attacking Trump and Biden - including nearly $500,000 on door-to-door canvassers - in Tennessee alone.
8% : ""To get rid of Donald Trump," agreed southeast voter George Ridley.

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